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Showing posts with label coverage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label coverage. Show all posts

Monday, October 24, 2011

Playbook: Jets’ disguise in coverage might have fooled Rivers

Philip Rivers' second interception was a key turning point in the Chargers' loss to the Jets on Sunday.

With six minutes to go in the fourth quarter and his Chargers down by three, Philip Rivers released what must have looked to him like an easy completion to his go-to receiver on a pivotal third-and-6.

But only moments after he let the ball go, you could see on tape all that a Pro Bowl signal-caller had been deceived. Jets corner Kyle Wilson wasn’t supposed to be there –- but he was, and Rivers gave a frustrated hop before the ball was picked and New York had basically sealed their 27-21 win over San Diego.

From that moment of disgust, let’s rewind now and tell you why Rivers was upset.

From studying the entire game tape, it seems like the Chargers’ offense had game planned to face more man-to-man defense than they actually saw from the Jets’ secondary. San Diego used a lot of motion to try and have the Jets tip their hand. Usually, when a team is playing man-to-man defense, a defender will trail whoever they are covering across the formation.

On Rivers’ interception, Wilson trailed Patrick Crayton in motion. At that point, Rivers must have thought he had man-to-man defense and Wilson, the trailing defender, should have been latched on to Crayton in the flat.

Instead, Wilson passed off Crayton to Darrelle Revis, who was covering the flat in the Jets’ exotic matchup zone. Wilson, on the other hand, stayed with Vincent Jackson over the middle and picked off the pass.

That was just one play, but the Chargers were forced to be perfect by how the Jets played on offense in the second half. They finally established the run game, utilizing Shonn Greene on more downhill running plays. New York abandoned the traps and draws -– lateral run schemes tailored for LaDainian Tomlinson’s talents but not best suited for the Jets’ reshuffled offensive line -– and they instead ran more power runs and isos.

The Jets had drives of 10, nine and seven plays in the second half, which minimized the Chargers’ offense’s time of possession down the stretch. And San Diego ended up with only one drive of more than five plays in the second half.

That made Rivers’ interception a big oops at the end of the game.

Tape study tidbits

Kansas City quarterback Matt Cassel’s 38.3 quarterback rating — in a win — was puzzling, but we feel his pain when seeing the amount of separation his receivers are getting. Nobody is winning and drops were plentiful. Cassel wasn’t sacked at all, but his offense had nine negative plays. … Oakland, on a positive note, has a rejuvenated Aaron Curry on their team. Since being traded from the Seahawks, he has been flying around and using his natural athleticism to make plays. … Tennessee linebackers Barrett Ruud and Will Witherspoon didn’t attack Houston’s zone-run offense. They did not get off blocks, and the Texans ran nearly half of their plays to the weak side of their formation to negate rookie edge setter Akeem Ayers.  …  Detroit has to get used to teams doubling Calvin Johnson, and in a multitude of ways. He is seeing not only a safety over the top, but linebackers bracketing him on inside routes and even defensive ends dropping into coverage to take away routes over the middle. … St. Louis center Jason Brown tipped off the Dallas defense on nearly every snap. He would nod his head before the snap, which gave nose tackle Jay Ratliff a huge jump versus the run and pass. Later in the game, Brown would try and toss in a “fake” head jerk every once and awhile to try and slow down the Cowboys’ tackles –- but it didn’t work. … Minnesota center Joe Berger, in place an injured John Sullivan, played well against the Packers’ front, including B.J. Raji and Ryan Pickett. Both were in his face every play as nose shades, but he blocked them up and Adrian Peterson had 175 yards on the ground.

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Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Press coverage: The nation's No. 2 league?

The SEC is king in college football after producing each of the last four national champions. That won't change until a team from another league hoists the crystal football.

But the SEC has a reason to look over its shoulder this season. Several of them, in fact. The Big 12, Pac-10 and Big Ten are trying to catch the SEC, and all three leagues can make cases for being the nation's No. 2 conference right now. According to the ESPN Stats & Info conference power rankings, the Big 12 is No. 2, followed by the Pac-10 and the Big Ten.

Which conference is right behind the SEC?

Bloggers David Ubben (Big 12), Ted Miller (Pac-10) and Adam Rittenberg (Big Ten) weigh in.

Adam Rittenberg: What the Big Ten lacks -- an undefeated team -- it more than makes up for with incredible depth. The league boasts three 1-loss teams in Wisconsin, Ohio State and Michigan State, all of which could finish 11-1. It also boasts a veteran Iowa team that no one wants to face in a bowl, in addition to decent squads like Northwestern, Penn State and Michigan. Even Illinois has made some major strides from 2009.

[+] EnlargeIowa quarterback Ricky Stanzi AP Photo/Charlie NeibergallThe Big Ten boasts some great talent at quarterback, including Iowa's Ricky Stanzi, who ranks third in the nation.This is the deepest the Big Ten has been since 2006, when it entered late November with the nation's No. 1 and No. 2 team and three teams -- Ohio State, Michigan and Wisconsin -- ranked in the top 7 of the final BCS standings. The Big Ten's rise also has occurred while Michigan rebuilds. The league also has significantly upgraded its quarterback play, boasting five of the nation's top 15 rated passers. Although the Big Ten's nonconference performance was just so-so, competition within the league seems to be largely undervalued by those evil BCS computers. A top-tier SEC or Big 12 program seems to get much more credit for beating a mid-level team in its league than Wisconsin gets for beating Iowa on the road or Michigan State gets for beating Northwestern on the road. The human voters see the Big Ten in a different light.

The Big Ten finished the 2009-10 bowl season as the nation's No. 2 conference, recording four victories against top 15 opponents.

Nothing has changed to move the Big Ten off of the second line.

David Ubben: Hey, I get it. In college football, a conference is only as strong as its strongest link. That's how the expression goes, right? Gimme a break.

The Big 12 has landed a team in the title game in each of the past two seasons. Despite being on the outside looking in on this year's chase, the league still has five teams in the top 20, and earlier this year, nine teams were in the poll or receiving votes. All that should be even more impressive considering the league's glamour program, Texas, at 4-6, is having a "down year" that is insulting to down years. Nine consecutive seasons of at least 10 wins for the Longhorns has come to a rather spectacularly bad end.

But otherwise, strength is everywhere. Baylor is having one of the program's best years and should be just as good in 2011. Missouri, had they not tripped up at Texas Tech, could be in the top 10. Oklahoma State has emerged as the league's surprise top 10 team and Nebraska is proving everybody wrong who thought they were overrated in the preseason. Texas A&M struggled early, but has won four Big 12 games in a row to reach the top 20. All in a down year for the two programs who have ruled the conference, Oklahoma and Texas.

Outside of Colorado, which is leaving anyway, and rebuilding Kansas, every team in the league is proving to be, at the very least, capable. Iowa State, despite playing the toughest schedule in college football, still has a chance to qualify for a bowl, and if Texas does the same by beating rival Texas A&M, the league could have 10 bowl-eligible teams.

So maybe the Big 12 doesn't have a team vying for the crystal football this year, but it has a whole lot of really good teams, and a handful of others who are proving there's no such thing as an easy week in the Big 12.

Ted Miller: Over at the Pac-10, we're grinning. We're about to point out the Pac-10 plays a nine-game conference schedule, which automatically adds five losses to the conference, which, of course, hurts the conference's national perception, not to mention its number of bowl-eligible teams. Every other BCS conference plays eight, other than the eight-team Big East. But that’s not why we're grinning. We're grinning because the Big Ten and the Big 12 will do that soon, and then they'll find out the perception consequence of not giving your entire conference an extra win with a nonconference patsy. Of course, the savvy SEC will continue to play eight conference games, schedule weak nonconference opponents and then trumpet itself as super-awesome.

Why is the Pac-10 No. 2? Well, it's got the nation's No. 1 team in Oregon. It's got the nation's No. 6 team in Stanford, which many believe to be the nation's best one-loss team. And four of 10 teams are ranked. Are Iowa and Wisconsin good teams? Absolutely. But Iowa lost to Arizona, which has three Pac-10 defeats, and Wisconsin got a fluky one-point win at home over Arizona State, which is 2-5 in the Pac-10. The Pac-10 is 10-4 overall vs. other BCS conferences. It's ranked No. 1 by the Sagarin ratings, which for some reason don't believe stadium size is a true measure of a team or a conference. Even lowly Washington State is no longer the pushover it was the previous two seasons.

Depth? Let's put it this way: The Pac-10 would love to match the team that ends up second to last in its conference versus the one that ends up in that spot anywhere else.

Rittenberg: Three strong cases for the No. 2 spot. But are any of these leagues closing the gap with the SEC?

Ubben: I guess we'll find out come bowl season, but I don't know that anybody in the Big 12 is in position for a run like the SEC's enjoyed in the latter half of the last decade.

Oklahoma and Texas will be Oklahoma and Texas, but the strength of the Big 12 has been a rising middle class with teams like Oklahoma State, Missouri, Texas A&M and maybe Baylor and Texas Tech positioning themselves to become mainstays in the top 25 during the next couple years or beyond.

That's good for the computer ratings, but not good for a league trying to field a national champion. And for better or worse, a league's ultimate identity boils down to its best team or two. Thanks to that rising middle class, getting inside the top five and staying there could be harder than ever in the next few years.

[+] EnlargeOregon quarterback Darron Thomas AP Photo/Paul SakumaThe SEC might be the top rated conference, but the Pac-10's Darren Thomas leads the nation's No. 1 team in Oregon. Miller: Are we talking reality or perception? Because the SEC's ostensible superiority is largely about perception -- i.e., fan passion equals great football. The Pac-10 has a winning record vs. the SEC over the past decade, and the Big Ten has done just fine vs. the SEC in the Capital One and Outback Bowls. The SEC is probably No. 1, but the margin is thin, and the conference refuses to prove its superiority during the regular season by consistently scheduling tough nonconference games.

When USC ruled the Pac-10 from 2002-2008, folks called the conference the Trojans and the nine dwarfs. Now that USC has fallen, Oregon has risen, and teams such as Stanford and Arizona also have made moves. But USC will be back. That's just inevitable. And if Utah continues to play at a high level after it joins the Pac-12, you could make the case that the Pac-10 should start to produce multiple top-10 teams and five or six top-25 teams annually, which would put it on par with the SEC.

And, honestly, with resurgent Nebraska joining the Big Ten, I'm not sure we won't have a new No. 1 conference in 2011 anyway.

Rittenberg: Well, Ted made most of my points for me. I'll be sending a gift basket to Scottsdale.

The Big Ten certainly has matched up well with the SEC in the Capital One and Outback bowls, and the addition of Nebraska next fall truly enhances the league's clout. Big Ten commissioner Jim Delany often points out the only way his league truly regains national respect is by beating the best from another conference at the championship level. The Big Ten still gets bashed for Ohio State's stumbles against the SEC in the BCS title game, and barring a wild final three weeks, a Big Ten squad won't be facing Auburn on Jan. 10 in Glendale. So the Big Ten must wait for that true statement game.

When I look at these two leagues from top to bottom, I don't see much difference. The Big Ten has continued to build off of its strong finish to 2009, while the SEC seems to have backslid. All you need to do is look at the SEC East division. Could Wisconsin, Ohio State and Michigan State beat Auburn or LSU? It's possible, but I really think the entire league matches up better now with what the SEC is offering.

Like Ted writes, it's all about perception. Until a team from another league beats the SEC at the highest level, the SEC will keep living off of its incredible run.

But the Big Ten is catching up.

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